Friday, August 29, 2008
- Early Results Of The Veep Debate
I want to be the very first to predict what the Vice Presidential debate results will be like. At the top of the hour, Joe Biden will take a deep breath and talk as long as anyone lets him. He will tangentially pontificate and ramble along for what feels like forever; making sure to include all the latest Democrat talking points. He’ll come across as a highly professional politician, even if he is a little long winded, and the press and the MSM talking heads will adore him and reverentially heap their many praises upon him.
They will proclaim him the easy victor of the debate before the opening title sequence, and nothing that occurs in the actual discussions will make them change their minds. They will all talk about how Sarah Palin was outgunned from the start and how her ‘folksy manner’ wasn’t nearly enough to make her a match for a heavyweight verbal pugilist like Biden. They’ll condescendingly talk about how she seems “basically nice”, but how she really isn’t ready for such a high profile national role. They’ll try not to be cruel, but they’ll dismiss her as having been out of her league from the start.
And then the polls will come in.
The people are going to love her. Sarah Palin doesn’t have a pretentious bone in her body, and it comes across as clear as day. The smaller more personal and less scripted the venue the better she does because she isn’t acting. She really is the way she seems, and it’s easy to be consistent when you aren’t pretending. The media mavens won’t see that because they’re pretending all the time and think everyone else is too. Her lack of pretense is the kind of thing that the mainstream media can’t appreciate and it fills them with the urge to look down their noses at the yokels. (Expect her to be portrayed on the New Yorker or the NYTimes riding a Moose and carrying a Banjo) But the American people will see that aspect of her personality and connect to it. The media won’t get her but the people will.
For a long time I’ve made the argument that the first black or woman President will have to come from the political right where voters care more about policy (substance) and less about image (style). And last year when I learned about Sarah Palin, I brazenly told my wife that I thought she’d be the first one to pull it off. I thought it would take her longer to get to a national role than she has, but seeing her now as McCain’s Vice President, I still maintain my view. She has a genuine and unassuming nature which will appeal to voters much more than it will to the media. And when it comes to conservative ideals she not only talks the talk, she also walks the walk.
The New York City media crowd doesn’t see anyone as plain-spoken as Sarah Palin on a day by day basis. I’m a pretty plain spoken person myself so I know, dealing with New York City Liberals at every turn beats it out of you. If you stay there long enough you have to eventually make a choice between being less direct with people or learning to live with the making them angry at you over your beliefs. A liberal’s political views are a product of their insecurity, so they take it very personally when you disagree with them. Over time that animosity they carry will effect your career or your personal life or whatever, so you ‘tone it down’ to get along. Believe me when I tell you, they don’t have anyone like Sarah Palin, moving through the New York City media circuit.
But Sarah Palin is from Alaska, and is totally unaffected by that. Where she’s from, being “all talk” is considered a bad thing not a career move. She comes from a world where everyone can say exactly what they mean if they feel like it. And, as I’ve written before, if you live in the wilderness and try to embrace the nonsensical frivolity of modern liberalism it will come back to bite you quickly. It forces you to become a sensible practical person, and Sarah Palin has all of that in spades. She’s genuine, straightforward and will be a complete and total mystery to New York City Liberals. They won’t see her coming at all.
In the meantime the mainstream media adores Biden because he’s so much like them. He’s in love with the sound of his own voice, just like them. He thinks the world should revolve around him and is surprised when someone disagrees with him, just like them. And most important, he thinks that what people say and how they say it is far more important than what they actually do when the talking is over. That's what it's really all about for the liberal media in this election. When it comes to choosing who the winner of the debate will be, they’ll all vote for him because in their minds it will be a vote for a man who thinks the skill that they posses is the one that's most important.
But most people don’t have jobs where all they do is talk for a living. Apart from academics (who have the same liberal political leanings as the mainstream media) most Americans have jobs where something other than talk has to be accomplished every single day. And if they don't actually get that thing accomplished, then they're likely to get fired. They can't get so wrapped up in "the idea" of something that the "something" doesn't get done. So at the end of the day they care more about results than about intentions. And to people like that, real people, Sarah Palin’s direct style will sound like a breath of fresh air. People are going to listen to her and like her. And that will win her and John McCain votes.
The media’s historic love affair with Barak Obama is over this very issue. For the media he’s considered the messiah because he’s the combination of a few key components that liberals seek. He’s multi-racial, an excellent speaker, and comes from the right kind of elitist academic background. They think he's smart because he sounds good, not because he's accomplished things. That's obvious because even a cursory look at his resume will show you that he actually hasn't accomplished much of anything at all. But they don’t care that the guy’s never had a real job, or that if he did even 10% of the things he wants to do, it would bring on an economic disaster of unprecedented proportions. they don't care that his "new" ideas have all been tried before and have all failed miserably. None of that matters because he reminds them so much of what they think is the most important skill a politician can have. It’s the very same skill that they spend their time developing and that’s why they think it’s so important.
But real Americans feels differently, and even more than John McCain, Sarah Palin is the candidate that’s going to bring that difference into the sharpest relief. This is going to be an election where it becomes increasingly clear that the mainstream media is on one side, and the American people are on the other.
Sarah Palin isn’t going to send chills down Chris Mathew’s leg … by now we all know that he doesn’t go that way. But she is probably going to get John McCain elected President. And she’s going to do it over the loud, obvious, and increasingly desperate demands of the mainstream media. The American people will like her for the same reason the media doesn’t, and that will irritate them to no end. By the end of the Vice presidential debate you will be able to tell everything about how someone will vote by who they pick as the winner. Not because it’s so close, but because it will say so much about how people see themselves.