Thursday, April 12, 2012

- Holder & Obama Have To Delay This Trial



I feel like I've barely written about anything else lately, but I have one more point on the Zimmerman inquisition trial. From what I've read, George seems to be on some pretty stable ground in Florida. If it happened the way he claimed and involves physical evidence and witnesses, then it will be very difficult to get him convicted.

So this becomes a very tricky issue electorally. If he's convicted, then the black population sees it as "justice" but the "White- Latino" population (as big and broad a demographic as the media needs it to be) sees this as a travesty and responds to the Al Sharpton's and Black Panther's of the world by rushing out to vote against Obama.

If he's acquitted at trial, then there is a real potential for a race riot (especially since Holder won't arrest the instigators) and that will have negative election consequences as well. If it's all tossed after a transparent and public hearing based on Florida's "stand your ground law", then the black community loses faith in team Obama's ability to deliver the white man to their version of justice. This idea was certainly a component of his strong support from the black community last time around. (He might not have said it, but they attributed a lot of things to him that he never actually said and I believe that this is one of them.)

It's beginning to look to me like there is no upside to Obama in getting this settled before the election, and potentially grave downsides - even if you discount the residual damage and mayhem that would come with a riot. I'm sure they would prefer to avoid something like that, but if it could mean certain reelection for Obama then half the south would be burning come September. It's a question of priorities.

So I think Holder et al. are going to try to push the dates back on all this - at least past October. I have no idea how likely that is. I know there are a lot of procedural issues that can be brought into play for the trial if necessary, but I don't know how many apply to the 'hearing' that the papers say George has a right to request.

Meanwhile Rick Scott and the Florida Republicans will probably be more focused on the "fair and Speedy" portion of the legal system. I suspect that since this is a state issue, they will have their way.


So here we are again... coming into the elections, everyone watching the courts in Florida.

6 comments:

chess said...

and all mitt needs to say if there are riots is---- this lays at the feet of eric holder and his boss who did zip when the panthers started tossing round a bounty. thus in fact fanning the flames.. in a short but polite statement mitt gets the nascar fans..a huge coup.

chess said...

not that the nascar folks would want to vote for odumass but right now they still lean to paul.newt.santorum...it would let em see mitt ina better light.evryone of all of us need to get off our ass and vote this pos out like carter. odummys head would explode with being a 1 termer

ikaika said...

Well, there are gonna be motions to dismiss based on the SYG defense.

even if it goes forward, prosecution has painted itself into a corner by securing a murder 2 indictment.

They have to prove that reason that Zim wasn't arrested was because the cops that immedately responded ignored evidence.

This is a defense attorney's wet-dream:
a high profile criminal case where the prosecution has to do all the work.

if it is revealed that Holder or some other admin apparatchik influenced the calendar for the case or any part of the pre-trial hearings, well that doesn't bode well for BHO.

frithguild said...

A sage observation, I must say.

Hell_Is_Like_Newark said...

Just saw that Zimmerman got a new lawyer. Good.. For a while there I thought he was going to go into battle solo.

I expect the whole Zimmerman / Martin case will get a lot quieter in the coming weeks.. at least until the trial starts.

James Hogan said...

I wonder if the Zimmerman situation went more like this one...

http://www.kxan.com/dpp/news/local/austin/man-killed-by-cop-had-30-past-arrests