Monday, September 24, 2012

- Some Excellent Poll Analysis

Why Isn’t Romney Up By Ten Points?

To be fair, conservatives exhibiting less hysteria do remain puzzled by the polls. After all, the Obama presidency has been a trainwreck of Carter-esque magnitude. Almost every historical predictor shows that Romney should have a sizeable lead: Unemployment is high, consumer confidence is low, two-thirds of voters think the country is on the wrong track, more believe we’re worse off now than we were four years ago, household income has plummeted, gas prices are hovering near record highs, and most voters perceive America to be in decline.

Furthermore, data show that Obama has lost support among several key segments of the electorate. He won 43 percent of the white vote in 2008, but appears to be drawing 4–6 points less today. He’s also lost support among middle class voters (see Katrina’s post below), Catholics, and Jews. Moreover, a decline in voter enthusiasm among blacks, Hispanics, and young voters suggests turnout for these groups will fall below 2008 levels (Jay Cost has noted that if black turnout alone been at typical levels in 2008, Obama would have lost Ohio and Florida). Follow the link.

6 comments:

chess said...

A big part of why Mitt isnt up is the amount of gov support or the so-called 47%. Someone the other night said an equivalent during Reagan years would be about 30%.That extra 17% is huge.It narrows down a small subset that actually votes without the tug an dpull of cutting off the hand that feeds you.
Plus as I have said before that a large chunk of society has ben so beat up with market still at 1999 levels and alot of them swallowed the koolaid and bougt high in the housing market. Most of them did that to themselves but its still painful...So painful that they just want to be left alone and picture that they survived the first fomo and they wil the second. Bernanke has killed their savings and made them reach for risk which also may end badly..
Hope was the last thing that came out of Pandora's box and thus it was all powerful. For without hope Man was done for. Hope(Mitt)

chess said...

Shouldnt we be in the streets killing Iranians over this? Do they have a flag we can burn?

In New York, defiant Ahmadinejad says Israel will be "eliminated"
Mon Sep 24 2012 14:44:21 GMT-0600 (Central Standard Time) · by NormsRevenge · 20 replies
Yahoo! News ^ | 9/24/12 | Louis Charbonneau | Reuters
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on Monday disregarded a U.N. warning to avoid incendiary rhetoric and declared ahead of the annual General Assembly session that Israel has no roots in the Middle East and would be "eliminated." In remarks to reporters in New York, Ahmadinejad also said he did not take seriously the threat that Israel could launch a military strike against Iran's nuclear facilities, denied sending arms into Syria, and alluded to Iran's threats against the life of British author Salman Rushdie. The United States quickly dismissed the Iranian president's comments as "disgusting, offensive and outrageous."..

And get ready for more headaches BHO


Anti-jihad 'savage' ads to hit New York City's subway system
Mon Sep 24 2012 14:39:19 GMT-0600 (Central Standard Time) · by JoeProBono · 2 replies
foxnews ^ | September 23, 2012
NEW YORK – As violent protests over an anti-Islamic film ridiculing the Prophet Muhammad sweep over much of the Muslim world, a conservative blogger's provocative ad equating Muslim radicals with savages is set to go up in New York City's subway system. Pamela Geller, who once headed a campaign against an Islamic center near the Sept. 11, 2001 terror attack site won a court order to post the ad in 10 subway stations on Monday. The ad reads, "In any war between the civilized man and the savage, support the civilized man. Support Israel. Defeat Jihad....

Tom said...

He's meeting with the Occupy Wall Street people while he's here too. (probably giving them a donation.) It's really the perfect time to have an 'accident' with a MOAB being transported past turtle Bay along the FDR drive.

chess said...

NO? The little guy is mtg with them? .Maybe he can take em back to Iran and use them as human shields.ill help pay for airfare.

Ikaika said...

Unskewedpolls.com
Tom, it pretty much confrms what you said all along...

Veal

chess said...

Anyone know the accuracy of unskewed? Were they around in 08 or even 2010 midterm stuff. I dont want to trust them .Seems to good to be true.

Thanx