Tuesday, September 11, 2012

- A Word On Polling

If you're like me (and if you're reading this I know you are) then you probably find the post convention polling results a little frustrating. So let me offer this one insight.

Obviously some of the polls are being intentionally skewed to make an Obama reelection seem inevitable and to dishearten conservatives. Those that do are the very same ones talked up most aggressively by the Obama public relations machines in the news departments of all the networks, and the print media.

But before you let that get you down, you should remember that even the most accurate of the polls are assuming that voter turnout will be similar in 2016 as it was in 2008 - or at least applying a bias toward that end to account for the high profile presidential advertising spending. And that means that in order for those polls to be accurate this year, you would have to assume that the conservative turnout will be the same as it was after 8 years of 'compassionate conservatism' and with John McCain as the flag bearer AND that the liberal turnout will be like it was during the peak 'hopey-changiness' of the Obama wave.

I find that kind of unlikely don't you?

4 comments:

chess said...

Tom.I pray to God you are right. I do think the youth wont pour out like they did. My best friend has 2 daughters in Chicago and their on the ground crap from bars etc(theyr 27 n 31)says youth is less hooray for BHO. Today 25% jewish folks said they were changing. Its just disheartening that its this tough with his track record. Its sad, .. And yes I know everything worth having is worth working hard for. Ill pick myself up and dust myself off. I just wish I saw more of R&R talking with old folks and youth and jewish folks...Tired of not being able to have background noise of tv for all the bs on..Thanx for the pick me up for all of us

chess said...

Tom. this backs you up.
Media Smothers News of Romney's Commanding Lead With Independents
http://www.breitbart.com ^ | 11 Sep 2012 | John Nolte


http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2929561/posts

chess said...

Not a big fan of Palin but finally...

Palin Statement on Embassy Attacks in Egypt and Libya
Wednesday, September 12, 2012 3:47:11 AM · by Timber Rattler · 27 replies
Sarah Palin's Facebook Page ^ | September 12, 2012 | Sarah Palin
Apparently President Obama can’t see Egypt and Libya from his house. On the anniversary of the worst terrorist attacks ever perpetrated on America, our embassy in Cairo and our consulate in Benghazi were attacked by violent Islamic mobs.(snip) In response to this, the U.S. embassy in Cairo issued a statement that was so outrageous many of us thought it must be a satire. The embassy actually apologized to the violent mob attacking us, and it even went so far as to chastise those who use free speech to “hurt the religious feelings of Muslims.” (Funny, the current administration has no.....

All of Frankensteins monsters are ALIVE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! and they are killing Americans...Im waiting for Israel to light it up....

chess said...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AZybFl_pfMk

So i went to Young Frankestein.....